Bitcoin vs. Gold: BTC lags as precious metal sets a new ATH
Key Takeaways
Why is Bitcoin dropping amid U.S. economic concerns?
Bitcoin’s decline is tied to rising U.S. policy uncertainty, with institutional investors pulling $466M from BTC ETFs amid fears of higher volatility.
How are retail and institutional investors reacting?
Institutions are selling, while retail investors show weak accumulation, risking further downside unless buying pressure strengthens.
Bitcoin [BTC] has recorded one of its weakest performances in recent times, dropping sharply to $112,000.
Despite ranking eighth among the most valuable assets—above Meta Platforms (Facebook) and Saudi Aramco—BTC remains under threat as U.S. economic uncertainty deepens.
Institutional investors are reacting, and broader sentiment shows a clear shift against Bitcoin’s growth outlook.
Macro uncertainty moves against Bitcoin
The U.S. Economic Policy Uncertainty Index has surged to one of its highest levels in recent days, flashing warning signs for risk assets.
According to Alphractal, between the 20th to the 22nd of September, the index spiked to 617.32, adding 456.23 points in just a short period.
Source: Alphractal
Historically, such spikes have weighed heavily on risk assets, including the S&P 500. Analyst Joao Wedson linked the increase to a series of U.S. policy and government actions.
“The increase is driven by intense debates on high trade tariffs, electoral uncertainties, and Federal Reserve decisions on interest rates and fiscal deficits, which generated widespread media coverage of policy ambiguities.”
Institutional investors are reacting by divesting from Bitcoin. The asset’s risk-to-reward profile remains weak, raising the likelihood of further downward volatility.
Institutional investors step back
Institutional players have begun the week with a bearish stance.
Data from Soso Value showed that Bitcoin U.S. spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recorded $466 million in outflows, with $363.17 million on the 22nd of September.
Source: SosoValue
This signals a clear rotation to safer assets. Farzam Ehsani, CEO and co-founder of VALR, described the move to AMBCrypto as a shift toward “safe-haven trade.”
He added:
“Recent crypto market performance and [Bitcoin] liquidity events have amplified volatility, leaving market participants’ conviction fragile and creating a short-term rotation to tangible havens like gold.”
Gold has since hit a new lifetime high of $3,791, posting a strong year-to-date gain of 44%, compared to Bitcoin’s 21%. Ehsani argued that Bitcoin’s underperformance has weakened investor conviction in its role.
“Investors are repricing its role as a hedge against macro uncertainty. They remain skeptical that BTC can fulfill its ‘digital gold’ thesis during times of macro stress and dollar strength,” he said.
Retail investors attempt a bid
Meanwhile, Bitcoin exchange reserves have dipped slightly amid market turbulence. A reserve decline across centralized exchanges typically signals investors moving assets into private wallets for holding.
At publication time, reserves dropped by just 348 BTC—worth $39.5 million—relatively small compared to selling pressure from institutional players.
CryptoQuant
Retail investors would need to increase their purchases significantly to offset ongoing sell-offs. Without this support, Bitcoin risks slipping further down the chart, darkening its overall market outlook.