Bitcoin: What Funding Rates say about a possible BTC price bottom
Journalist
Posted:
- Bitcoin’s negative Funding Rates may indicate a market bottom forming in the short term.
- Historical patterns suggest a potential short squeeze could trigger a price rebound for Bitcoin.
Bitcoin’s [BTC] Funding Rate is nearing a critical threshold. While the Aggregate Funding Rate remains positive, there’s a growing trend of negative Funding Rates across major exchanges.
This has raised questions about what this might mean for Bitcoin’s short-term price action.
Historically, negative Funding Rates have often been associated with market bottoms, suggesting that the current shift could signal a potential local bottom for BTC.
Negative Funding Rates: A signal for market bottoms?
Bitcoin’s Aggregated Funding Rate remains positive, but data reveals a crucial shift. Pockets of negative Funding Rates are appearing across major exchanges.
Historically, such occurrences have coincided with local bottoms. This was seen in mid-2022 and early 2023 when negative spikes preceded price reversals.
Source: Alphractal
The current decline in funding suggests growing short-interest. Traders are paying to keep short positions open. If this trend intensifies, it could set the stage for a short squeeze, forcing liquidations and driving BTC’s price higher.
However, not all negative funding events lead to immediate rebounds. Market structure and liquidity conditions will determine if this signals a true bottom or merely reflects temporary bearish sentiment.
What comes next?
If the Funding Rate shift follows historical trends, Bitcoin may be approaching a local bottom. This opens the door for a price rebound. A short squeeze scenario could trigger sharp upward momentum, especially if excessive short positions are liquidated.
However, persistent negative funding might also indicate deeper market skepticism.
This could lead to prolonged sideways action rather than an immediate recovery. Additionally, external factors like macroeconomic conditions, ETF flows, and overall market liquidity will heavily influence BTC’s trajectory.
Bitcoin: Sideways action or breakout ahead?
Bitcoin is trading at $98,288 at press time, reflecting a period of consolidation after multiple attempts to push past resistance levels.
The RSI at 50.93 indicates neutral momentum, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions.
This aligns with the OBV, which remains weak at -90.38K, signaling a lack of strong accumulation.
Source: TradingView
Bitcoin’s price action shows it is stuck in a range. Resistance is near $100,000, and support is around $92,000-$94,000. A breakout above psychological resistance could trigger renewed bullish momentum.
Failure to hold support might lead to a deeper correction. Given the recent negative Funding Rate trend, a short squeeze could provide the necessary catalyst for a decisive move.