Ripple: Does THIS historical setup indicate a bullish breakout for XRP?

  • XRP mirrors its last cycle, where consolidation sparked a 70% breakout.
  • Will greed for quick gains once again crush FOMO?

Ripple’s[XRP] past consolidation sparked a massive rally to $3.40 as billions poured into its ledger. With XRP now holding steady between $2.30 and $2.50, could patience be the key to even greater returns?

Greed or fear : The critical choice ahead

XRP is down 30% from its mid-January peak of $3.40, with sell orders dominating the perpetual market and leverage at a yearly low. 

Futures traders have been exiting positions despite Ripple never hitting an overheated state – proof that greed took over, with investors chasing quick gains instead of HODLing for bigger returns.

Fast-forward to now, XRP has been stuck in a tight range for five days – a setup that, in the last cycle, led to a month-long consolidation before a massive 70% breakout. 

XRPXRP

Source: TradingView (XRP/USDT)

If history repeats, XRP could be gearing up for a similar rally, potentially pushing it to $4.25 before Q1 ends. But will greed for quick gains once again suppress the fear-of-missing-out? 

With a 4.80% jump in the last 24 hours, signs of renewed FOMO are creeping in, fueled by “market-wide” optimism as the crypto market cap rises 2.35%, reclaiming early February levels.

However, with Bitcoin dominance still holding strong, is Ripple’s repeat of its 70% breakout still out of reach?

Key conditions XRP must meet

In the last cycle, XRP’s breakout past $3 was no fluke. It was fueled by whales strategically accumulating, injecting $4 billion worth of XRP into their portfolios since November.

Meanwhile, the XRP/BTC pair hit its yearly high as capital flooded into Ripple, driven by retail FOMO. From the chart below, Ripple might be setting up for another explosive surge.

Ripple whalesRipple whales

Source: Santiment

Just this past week, wallets holding 10M – 1B XRP acquired an additional 550 million tokens, boosting their holdings by 5.55%. The result? It sparked a 3.09% price jump the very next day.


Realistic or not, here’s XRP market cap in BTC’s terms


Déjà vu? The XRP/BTC pair is signaling a similar setup, squeezing short-sellers and laying the groundwork for a breakout.

If this trend holds, despite market volatility, a 70% rally to $4.25 may not be far off – making HODLing Ripple the play to watch.

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