Cryptos down as Grayscale ETF news loses shine

Bitcoin, Ether and most other top ten non-stablecoin cryptocurrencies dipped Thursday morning in Asia. The market lost some of the ground it made up Wednesday following a favorable U.S. court ruling for Grayscale Investments in its Bitcoin ETF case against the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Elsewhere, U.S. equity futures were trading flat following four straight days of advances across the three major indexes. Weaker than expected economic data has raised hopes of another pause for interest rate hikes. Investors now await the release of U.S. jobs data Friday.

Some way to go

Bitcoin dropped 1.35% over the last 24 hours to US$27,248.34 as of 06:55 a.m. in Hong Kong. The token is up 3.04% for the week, according to CoinMarketCap data. The world’s leading cryptocurrency briefly rose above US$28,000 during the early hours of Thursday morning. 

Ether also posted losses. It fell 1.57% to US$1,702.62 over the past 24 hours for a 1.60% weekly gain. All other top ten non-stablecoin cryptos posted losses, with Solana’s SOL leading the losers with a dip of 4.28%. Toncoin was the only top ten crypto to post a gain. It rose 0.28% over the past 24 hours.

The losses across most of the market followed a day of gains Wednesday on the back of a favorable U.S. court ruling for Grayscale Investments in its ongoing legal dispute with the SEC.

The Connecticut-based digital asset management firm filed a lawsuit against the SEC in June 2022 following the rejection of the company’s proposal to convert its GBTC Bitcoin fund into a spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF). A U.S. appeals court overturned the SEC’s refusal Tuesday, opening up a potential avenue for approval. 

In light of the news, Nigel Green, founder of financial management group deVere, said spot Bitcoin ETFs are now an “inevitability” that will cause another bull run in the market. “The court’s decision destroys the SEC’s central argument for rejecting every spot Bitcoin ETF over the last few years. This win paves the way for Bitcoin ETFs,” he said in an emailed comment.

“ETFs typically involve the purchase of the underlying asset by the fund managers. If Bitcoin ETFs follow this structure, it could create a substantial demand for actual Bitcoins to back the ETF shares,” Green said. 

Bitcoin’s next halving event is expected to take place in April 2024. The halving event will see the amount of new Bitcoin issued cut in half, increasing its scarcity. Increased demand caused by ETF approval coupled with the limited supply of Bitcoin will lead to a surge in the token’s price, Green said.

Matteo Greco, a research analyst at digital asset investment firm Fineqia International, took a less bullish view. He pointed out that Grayscale’s favorable court ruling is just one part of an application process that is still incomplete. 

“The decision of the court is of course important but doesn’t change anything for now,” Greco said in an emailed statement. 

“Grayscale obtained the chance of seeing their filing re-evaluated by the SEC as the causes of rejection did not seem fair to the judge,” Greco continued. “It doesn’t mean that now Grayscale will be 100% able to list a spot Bitcoin ETF, nor that this will happen in the future.”

Other major U.S. financial institutions including BlackRock, Fidelity, Invesco and WisdomTree have filed their own ETF applications. The SEC is scheduled to rule on each of the applications this week. However, the regulator delayed a decision on Ark Investment Managament’s ETF application in early August and could do so again. 

The total crypto market capitalization fell 1.41% to US$1.09 trillion, and trading volume dropped 38.98% to US$32.02 billion.

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