Will Bitcoin’s price turn volatile soon?

• If short-term holders enter the accumulation phase, BTC’s price might witness an uptick. 
• The derivatives market metrics remained bearish. 

Bitcoin’s [BTC] price has moved sideways for multiple weeks now. While several altcoins witnessed high volatility in their price action, BTC’s value continued to remain under the $30,000 mark. However, a few of the latest analyses pointed out that there could be an end to the slow-moving price action in sight. 

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Bitcoin’s sideways movement to end soon?

The king of cryptos seemed to have become comfortable under $30,000 for quite some time. According to CoinMarketCap, BTC’s price only moved marginally over the last seven days. At press time, it was trading at $29,364.40 with a market capitalization of more than $571 billion. 

However, the trend might end soon, as pointed out by a recent analysis. SignalQuant, an author and analyst at CryptoQuant, highlighted the relationship between new capital inflow and BTC’s price. Unfortunately, the supply of all stablecoins has been decreasing for the past 18 months. Therefore, the analysis considered USDT (ERC), which has been coupled with this year’s rally. 

The circulating supply of USDT (ERC) grew in early December 2022, early March, and mid-June 2023, which were followed by upticks in BTC‘s price. Therefore, USDT’s (ERC) circulating supply is an important metric to keep an eye on. If the metric rises in the coming days, BTC’s price can witness an uptick.

Source: CryptoQuant

Another analysis highlighted the behavior of short-term holders, which might have an interesting impact on the market. AxelAdlerJr, an analyst and author at CryptoQuant, revealed that the Short-Term Holders (STH) cohort increased its supply by 100,000 BTC, reaching a total of 4.2 million BTC from the previous 4.1 million BTC.

The STH cohort may move into an accumulation phase in the future. Given that STH presently accounts for the majority of the market’s inflows, which could be a bullish indication. 

A look at BTC’s state

Though the aforementioned analyses reveal that BTC’s price action turning bullish was possible, a check on other metrics suggested otherwise. For instance, Bitcoin’s net deposits on exchanges were high compared to the 7-day average, meaning that it was under selling pressure. 

Read Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price Prediction 2023-24

The crypto’s aSORP was red, indicating that more investors were selling at a profit. BTC’s price generally moves away from its funding rate. In the press time scenario, BTC’s Binance funding rate was green, increasing the chances of a price drop.

However, its weighted sentiment showed an improvement over the last few weeks. 

Source: Santiment