Uniswap Price Still on Shaky Ground Despite Retail Trader Push

The global crypto market’s volatile price action and recent short-term rise aided in providing some bullish momentum for the Uniswap (UNI) price. But it’s not likely in the clear just yet.

Uniswap price action gained wind of bullish momentum alongside the global crypto market and large-cap altcoins on Nov. 21. The UNI price gained over 6% on Nov. 22 amid short-term bullish moves in the crypto market. 

At the time of press, the native token of the Uniswap decentralized exchange (DEX), UNI, traded at $5.47, charting a 6.56% daily gain. The crucial question UNI investors had, however, was whether Uniswap prices could continue to rise and for how long?

Dissecting the gains 

UNI trade volumes were up 14% to $159.93 million on the daily chart at the time of press. The recent UNI gains were accompanied by a pump in trade volumes as day traders and retailers took advantage of the positive price momentum. 

However, despite the rise in price, UNI saw considerable exchange inflows as per Santiment’s net flow balance. Around 66,400 UNI moved to exchanges, according to this 4-hour chart on Nov. 23. 

Uniswap (UNI) net flow balance | Source: Santiment
Uniswap (UNI) net flow balance | Source: Santiment 

A spike in inflows could signal traders and short-term investors moving their tokens to exchanges to cash in on the higher prices. 

Despite the macro market turmoil, Uniswap had a glimmering development activity as it rose from its lower bounds.

Uniswap Development activity and network growth | Source: Santiment 
Uniswap Development activity and network growth | Source: Santiment 

However, network growth noted a pullback, dropping to a monthly low. In addition to that, the UNI supply held by top exchange addresses dropped by 11M tokens after the FTX collapse. 

UNI supply held by top exchange addresses | Source: Santiment 
UNI supply held by top exchange addresses | Source: Santiment 

A potential Uniswap price pullback?

Despite the Uniswap price noting a short-term pump backed by retail traders, a look at the token’s ownership statistics spelled some trouble. Addresses for UNI holders by time held suggested that while ‘Trader’ addresses (less than one month old) noted a 150.17% rise, ‘Hodler’ addresses (more than one year) only grew by a mere 4.53%.

Uniswap (UNI) Addresses by time held | Source: IntoTheBlock
Uniswap (UNI) Addresses by time held | Source: IntoTheBlock

In addition to that, address balances sorted by time held suggested a 94.07% growth in traders, while ‘Cruisers’ (between one and 12 months) reduced their balances by 13%. The ownership scenario presented that traders or retailers largely drove UNI prices.

As the market becomes seemingly more volatile, the UNI price could be pulled by the broader market. For now, the In/Out of Money Around Price indicator suggested strong support at the $5.29 mark, where 4,200 addresses hold 10.1 million UNI. 

Uniswap UNI In/Out of Money Around Price | Source: IntoTheBlock
In/Out of Money Around Price | Source: IntoTheBlock

Going forward, a fall below the $5.29 mark could spell trouble for prices. However, short-term price action could be marked with bouts of volatility

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