Bitcoin Price is Showing Early Signs of Fresh Rally, But 100 SMA is the Key

Bitcoin price remained well bid above the $20,000 support zone. BTC is consolidating and might start a fresh rally if it clears the $20,500 resistance zone.

• Bitcoin traded in a range above the key $20,000 support zone.
• The price is trading below $20,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
• There is a crucial bearish trend line forming with resistance near $20,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
• The pair could a fresh rally if it clears the 100 hourly SMA and $20,500.

Bitcoin Price Consolidates

Bitcoin price started a downside correction below the $20,600 and $20,500 levels. BTC even traded below the $20,250 level and settled below the 100 hourly simple moving average.

However, the bulls were active near the $20,000 zone. A low was formed near $20,059 and the price is now consolidating losses. There was a minor increase above the $20,200 level. The price climbed above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $20,865 swing high to $20,060 low.

Bitcoin price is now trading below $20,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. On the upside, an immediate resistance is near the $20,350 level.

The first major resistance is near the $20,500 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is also a crucial bearish trend line forming with resistance near $20,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The trend line is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $20,865 swing high to $20,060 low.

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

A clear move above the $20,500 resistance zone could start another steady increase. The next major resistance is near $21,000, above which the price may perhaps rise towards the $22,000 zone.

More Losses in BTC?

If bitcoin fails to clear above the $20,500 resistance zone, it could resume its decline. An immediate support on the downside is near the $20,200 zone.

The next major support is near the $20,000 zone or the recent low. A clear move below the $20,000 support might push the price further lower. In this case, the price may perhaps decline towards the $19,200 level.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $20,200, followed by $20,000.

Major Resistance Levels – $20,350, $20,500 and $21,000.