Ethereum-powered Ronin could be Axie Infinity’s next hope for gains

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The rise of blockchain gam­ing and the Meta­verse have qui­et­ly pumped not just Meta­verse tokens, but the larg­er nar­ra­tive too. In fact, the same was high­light­ed in a pre­vi­ous arti­cle as well. While the grow­ing pop­u­lar­i­ty of blockchain gam­ing tokens is note­wor­thy, Axie Infinity’s gains make oth­er tokens’ rise look less so. 

How­ev­er, over the last week, Axie has more or less seen side­ways move­ment after hit­ting an ATH $165. 

Axie wave over or do more gains await?

AXS, after chart­ing close to 320% gains over the last three months, was trad­ing at $156.73 at the time of writ­ing. While there isn’t much to wor­ry about on the price front, the price move­ment seemed less dra­mat­ic with Axie not­ing mere­ly 3.83% dai­ly gains. 

The alt­coin, after record­ing a high year­ly ROI of close to 110761%, has been mov­ing side­ways since 29 Octo­ber. In fact, Axie’s Rel­a­tive Strength Index also seemed over­heat­ed, at the time of writ­ing, as Axie’s price strug­gled ahead of the $156-mark. 

So, could the cool­ing down of the gam­ing and meta­verse mania be behind AXS’s lost momentum? 

Gains still in the picture 

While Axie may not have seen mon­u­men­tal gains over the last week, Axie infused gains in oth­er tokens. For instance, Axie Infin­i­ty recent­ly announced the launch of its decen­tral­ized exchange, Katana. This trig­gered a ral­ly in reward token Smooth Love Potion (SLP). SLP chart­ed over 100% gains over the last two days as it final­ly made a come­back after the drop in price in Sep­tem­ber 2021. 

Accord­ing to Col­in Wu, soon after the release, Katana DEX launched on Axie’s Ethereum sidechain Ronin and hit $163.23 mil­lion as its trans­ac­tion vol­ume rose to $150 mil­lion on 5 Novem­ber. So, apart from the Ethereum-based Ronin, what else has been in Axie’s favor?

Supply dynamics 

Notably, Axie’s sup­ply on exchanges (as % of total sup­ply) was at its low­est while exchange out­flows spiked over the last week. This behav­ior seemed to high­light AXS HODLers’ con­vic­tion to hold. 

Source: San­base

Fur­ther, AXS could’ve also pumped because of its volatil­i­ty i.e. the annu­al­ized stan­dard devi­a­tion of dai­ly returns over a win­dow of time that has been dropping. 

Addi­tion­al­ly, Axie’s Sharpe ratio has main­tained a decent num­ber, mak­ing Axie a com­par­a­tive­ly safer asset to hold. Nonethe­less, with Axie’s MVRV 7‑day and 30-day look­ing heat­ed, AXS may see some short-term pull­back. This can present a good buy­ing oppor­tu­ni­ty around the $130–140 level. 

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