The $1 billion crypto liquidations warning – 3 signs another flash crash is coming!
Key Takeaways
A few days ago, Bitcoin [BTC] tumbled down from $124k to sub-$118k, sparking $961 million in liquidations. Notably, $821 million of that hit leveraged longs.
Clearly, bulls chasing a breakout got trapped, sweeping long liquidity clusters and piling pressure on the price. At press time, BTC was priced at $115k following a 2% intraday dip, with two fat liquidity clusters stacking up.
So, are we staring down another bloodbath?
Bitcoin rotation sparks derivatives frenzy
A $1 billion crypto liquidation hit as the market pulled back across the board. TOTAL2 (ex-BTC market cap) dropped by 3.84% – A sign that capital bled out of altcoins too. In short, it wasn’t just a BTC-led move.
Now, Bitcoin dominance [BTC.D] has been trying to reclaim ground lately, consolidating around 59% for a week with a 0.40% intraday pop. Meanwhile, TOTAL2 slid by 2.74%, confirming the rotation back into BTC.
Derivatives are catching up too. BTC Open Interest jumped by nearly $380 million in under 48 hours, with the Estimated Leverage Ratio (ELR) ticking north and hinting at rising speculative heat.
All in all, the market’s rotating back into Bitcoin, altcoins are bleeding, dominance is holding around 59%, and derivatives are heating up. It looks like volatility could spike soon.
Supporting this, in the last 24 hours, total crypto liquidations hit $563 million, with $485 million crushed from leveraged longs. That’s a serious 85%+ hit on bulls overextended in the long leverage game.
So, is the market sending the wrong signal? That minor 0.40% BTC.D pop, combined with a spike in leveraged flow over spot – Are we gearing up for another $1 billion crypto liquidation?
Another round of crypto liquidations looms
Well, looks like Bitcoin’s Open Interest (OI) isn’t playing along with the price. Even with a 4% drop off its $124k ATH in a day, OI’s holding above $80 billion – Marking a clear divergence from previous cycles.
Historically, BTC tops have synced with OI peaks, with the OI rolling over as the BTC was sold off – Evidence of traders unwinding leverage. Take May’s run, for instance – BTC hit a then-ATH of $111k with an OI of $81 billion.
The next day, the OI tanked to $77 billion as BTC slid to $107k, sparking a broader crypto liquidation wave. This time around, even with BTC nearly 8% off its ATH, the OI hasn’t been topped.
What it means is that the market hasn’t started full deleveraging yet. Traders are still loaded, with 60%+ long skew on Binance’s BTC/USDT perpetual trade.
Bottom line – The setup’s primed for another round of crypto liquidations if BTC takes a dip. OI is still climbing, and with volume spiking on what looks like a false bullish signal, another $1 billion+ wipeout feels almost baked in.